It's too early to start measuring measure the office drapes. There are scenarios—a "No Labels" independent ticket, a Nikki Haley New Hampshire Republican primary miracle powered by crossover Democrats and independent voters, a legal twist or turn that keeps Trump off the ballot or makes it practically impossible for him to continue—that could change things. But the morning after the Iowa caucuses, it sure looks like Donald Trump has a reasonably good chance of returning to the White House.
Hugh Hewitt already has a column up speculating about Trump's second-term team—cabinet members, ambassadors, White House staff. This is going to be a significant part of building confidence in Trump among independents and swing voters and skeptical conventional non-Trumpy Republicans. Back in 2016, Trump put out pre-election lists of possible Supreme Court nominees. There are some risks to such a move—it may appear presumptious, and it can create a controversy if the press decides some potential nominee is extreme. But one thing you hear negatively about Trump is that a second-term will have trouble attracting quality people because they don't want to get dragged into the scandals or investigations or serve a chaotic, erratic president. Somehow putting out a list of serious grownups who would serve might help ease some of those concerns.
Trump's vice presidential selection can also help build confidence if it is someone who adds credibility rather than subtracts.