Most of the effects would happen after the time period in the article

Reader comment on: Asness on Climate Change

Submitted by Lyle (United States), Mar 12, 2015 21:37

Note that most of their charts stop at 2060 when others are talking of effects in 2100 or later. If you follow the curves shown in particular on page 3 with the three different secnario plots, they stop their extrapolation in 2060, however if you follow the curves and look at values for 2100 you find 2 of the 3 cases above 4 c (Not that many alive today will be around to care, as babies born this year will be 85).

So partly they get the conclusions they get by cutting the graphs off at 2060, where as the other side looks to 2100. So you can get your desired conclusion either way by deciding how long to extrapolate.

Now of course when various investment banks begin talking about grid parity for roof top solar in places other than islands that run on diesel based electricty in 15 years the whole set of projects become nonsense. (Note that in HI at $.35/kwh solar roof top electricty makes sense, combine that with a telsa battery etc.)

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