I think Predict It says Trump will probably not be re-elected

Reader comment on: The Presidential Race, a Year Out

Submitted by David in Cal (United States), Nov 1, 2019 17:49

If I understand the figures, Trump's "Yes" price of 40¢ roughly equates to a 40% chance of re-election. Also, "Which party will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?" shows Democrats 56¢ and Republicans 47¢. Trump has a better chance of being elected than any single Democrat, but his overall chance is less than 50%, based on Predict It. See https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/2721/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

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